Friday, April 8, 2011

Week 3 - destroyer of lightweights

We all knew week 3 was a big boy's (or girls) workout.  One big difference though from previous weeks - some athletes are finding it near impossible to do the workout at all!  This is most dramatic with the female athletes.  Below is the distribution of weights from athletes who completed week 2, versus those who have submitted scores for week 3.

Is this shift temporary, or a permanant result of week three's workout?

The bar height is the fraction of total female athletes in any particular 5 pound interval.  The green distribution represents a snapshot of the athletes after week 2, while the red distribution represents what it looks like right now.  If workout 3 was doable for everyone, we would expect both distributions to look fairly similar.   What we actually see, is a shift to the right, marked by areas where you see green peaking over the red in the lighter weight classes.   Keep in mind the height of the green bar relative to the red bars will tell you how much of the weight class is growing or shrinking.

There's two possible explanations for what we see now.   The lightweights are waiting to submit their scores, or there's a small fraction of athletes that can't do the workout and won't end up submitting.  We'll see after the end of the week, but if trends continue, we could see near half the female athletes weighing 110 and under registering a zero score.

 Is this fair?  For example, can there be workouts where it can be near impossible to complete if you're too heavy?  I've got one for for next year - 36" box jumps anyone?


12 comments:

  1. Ahhh, but it's not impossible to complete if you're light, it's impossible to complete if you're WEAK!

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  2. Great analysis! +1 on reddit from me! Are you on twitter?

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  3. Next workout:
    Muscle ups and wall climbs to wean out the "big kids"

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  4. What Dan said. Life doesn't care if you're light or heavy.

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  5. I agree with dan too. Thank god they put some real weight in there. those "light guy" AMPRAPs from weeks 1&2 sucked.

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  6. Love the analysis. How are you scrapping out the data out of the site? Is there an API?

    Any idea on the dropout rate week to week. How many athletes did we start with? For the record. I'm one of those "light guys" who scraped by with this workout and would love to know how many did not. Still didn't find the first two WODS particularly easy though.

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  7. How does one get his hands on this data?

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  8. As a fellow academic, I think this is way cool! And I'm happy to add my height and weight now that I know it can be useful for something. Thanks for doing this, Beth

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  9. Hmm, guess it's not possible to add it now, actually!

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  10. Thanks for doing this. As a 140 lbs male masters competitor, I'd sure be curious to know how this plays out in the masters divisions (both male and female)?

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  11. This is awesome! I really appreciate your analysis and look forward to every posting -- please keep up the great work! There are lots of us out here who are digging it. :^)

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  12. I hope you'll do the bodyweight distribution for week three's workout too. I'm wondering how the extra effort of squat cleaning (vs power) might impact the heavier competitors.

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